Predicted podium
Full grid — podium probability
Predicted constructors’ points
What the model learned
How it works. For every driver the model reads the factors that decide a race — starting grid, qualifying pace, recent form, race-pace trend, reliability, constructor strength and weather — and an XGBoost classifier estimates the probability of a top-three finish.
What it learned, in order of impact: grid position, then qualifying pace, then championship form, then constructor strength. The ordering matches how a race engineer would rank them — learned entirely from data.